NEMI Cost Analysis: Optical Versus Copper Backplanes
The outlook for optical PCBs is unclear for mainly three reasons: 1) today's limits for copper boards can be stretched with
design and manufacturing improvements,2) the market demand for next generation,higher bandwidth telecom systems (in
the 40Gbps range) won't be clearly known for years,and 3) the point at which optical backplanes cost less than copper
backplanes depends on many unknowns,including the type of optical technology,the design issues (such as layer count),and
the ever-important manufacturing yields. Focusing on issue number three,a NEMI project seeks the answer to the question,
"Under what conditions does optical cost less?" This paper reviews the analysis so far,including major cost model
manufacturing assumptions,design factors,and choices of optical technologies.