North American PCB and EMS Business Growth Continued in May
Printed circuit board (PCB) and electronics manufacturing services (EMS) industries in North America continued to report positive growth in May 2016, based on three-month rolling averages. Semiconductor shipments continued to show signs of recovery, although year-on-year sales growth in May remains negative, based on a three-month rolling average. The two leading indicators, U.S. Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and U.S. new orders for computer and electronic products, were mixed in May. The PMI strengthened and remained in positive territory, while U.S. new orders continued to decline and turned negative in May.
The PMI typically leads sales by three to six months and U.S. new orders for electronic products tend to lead sales by one to two months. IPC’s PCB book-to-bill ratio is another leading indicator that normally leads PCB sales by three to six months. The ratio has been positive during the first five months of 2016. As of May 2016, it stands at 1.01. Ratios above parity (1.00) indicate greater demand than supply, which may be a precursor of strengthening sales for electronics manufacturers. These indicators point to a possible slowdown in electronics industry sales this summer, followed by slow growth in subsequent months.
Note on the graph:
All indices are based on the same baseline of the average month in 2000=100, and reflect a three-month rolling average.
Sources: IPC statistical programs for the EMS and PCB industries; SIA for semiconductor data; U.S. Census Bureau for U.S. new orders for computer and electronic products.
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Market Research Reports
World Market Size Estimates
||Billions of U.S. Dollars
|Printed Circuit Boards (PCBs)
||IPC, World PCB Production Report for the Year 2014
|Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS)
||New Venture Research, The Worldwide EMS Market, 2015 edition
|Electronic Equipment (Final Assembly)
||Custer Consulting Group and Electronic Outlook Corp.
Source: IPC Global Solder Statistical Program
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